The 1 p.m. Friday, July 4, 2025, tropics advisory from the National Hurricane Center in Miami shows a tropical system with formation possible over the next 48 hours or within seven days at 70 percent.

An approaching cold front could bring fireworks of its own to North Florida this Fourth of July, though chances of tropical development remain low.

Hurricane forecasters have their eyes on a tropical disturbance brewing off the coast of the Southeast United States that has a moderate chance of formation into a cyclone − but could become a tropical or subtropical depression as early as the Fourth of July holiday weekend.