Sahm was the economist who introduced the so-called Sahm Rule in 2019. It states that the initial phase of a recession has started when the three-month moving average of the U.S. unemployment rate is ...

The Sahm rule is a measure of labor market deterioration, and it has historically been an accurate recession indicator.

Global stock markets faced an air pocket on Monday, leading investors to rely on the "Sahm rule," a highly accurate recession indicator, to assess whether the U.S. economy is in recession. The Sahm ...

Former senior Fed official Claudia Sahm wrote in a recent piece for MSNBC that the Fed “could still ruin” what she imagines is the economy’s “soft landing.” On its face, there’s reason for skepticism.

Investors and Fed officials await this week's inflation data as looming recession risks weigh on forecasts. Sahm Consulting Founder Claudia Sahm, who is also a former Federal Reserve Board economist, ...

A bummer of a jobs report released Friday morning triggered a sharp drop in the stock market and stoked fear of a coming recession—thanks to something known as the "Sahm Rule." So what is that? It is ...

Even economist Claudia Sahm admits that her namesake recession indicator isn’t always a guarantee that the economy is headed toward a downturn. Sahm, an economist who previously worked at the Federal ...